DEFSEC Technologies Stock Performance
| DFSCW Stock | 0.03 -0.02 -49.30% |
DEFSEC Technologies holds a performance score of 8 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm secures a Beta (Market Sensitivity) of -1.54, which attests to elevated sensitivity to broad market movements. A strongly negative beta means DEFSEC Technologies acts as a natural hedge, gaining when the broader market declines.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Moderate
Weak | Strong |
On a recent 90-day basis, DEFSEC Technologies sits below 8% of comparable global equities and portfolios in risk-adjusted performance. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, DEFSEC Technologies showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 256.8 K | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -180.4 K |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 2.40 in DEFSEC Technologies on December 22, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 0.13 from holding DEFSEC Technologies or generated 5.42% return on investment over 90 days. DEFSEC Technologies is currently producing a 2.2691% return and carries 21.723% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than DEFSEC, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
A fundamental principle of stock forecasting is that prices tend to revert toward historical averages. For DEFSEC Stock, this mean-reverting tendency has been a useful tool for valuation. Still, some stocks exhibit persistent mispricings that are only corrected when buying and selling pressure realign.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.03 | about 78.56 |
According to our probability model, the chance of DEFSEC Technologies moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 78.56 (This probability chart for DEFSEC Technologies depicts the range of likely prices for DEFSEC Stock over a 90-day horizon).
DEFSEC Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DEFSEC Technologies
Predicting the direction of DEFSEC Technologies and the broader stock market involves a range of quantitative and qualitative techniques. Although accurate forecasting remains elusive, the process of modeling future scenarios is a valuable part of investment decision-making. Comparing results from different methods frames the confidence level of their predictions.The concept of mean reversion suggests that DEFSEC Technologies' price will eventually return toward its long-run average. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers who anticipate a recovery.
Primary Risk Indicators
Market volatility over the last 10-20 years has created both risk and opportunity for stock investors. DEFSEC Technologies has seen its share of dramatic price swings during this period. Implementing a hedging strategy and tracking DEFSEC Technologies' volatility and elasticity can help investors in DEFSEC Technologies limit the impact of adverse market moves.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.92 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Real-time alerts for DEFSEC Technologies allow investors to track important stock developments as they happen. Reviewing ongoing notifications for DEFSEC Technologies helps identify opportunities and risks before they are fully priced into the market.| DEFSEC Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| DEFSEC Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| DEFSEC Technologies was previously known as KWESST Micro Systems and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol KWESW. | |
| The company reported revenue of 4.94 M. Net Loss for the year was -9.63 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.74 M. | |
| DEFSEC Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations |
Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when uncertainty rises among traders holding long positions. The future price of DEFSEC Stock depends not only on investor outlook but also on the dynamics between participants with different trading approaches. Because risk indicators may produce small false signals, reviewing multiple metrics is recommended. DEFSEC Technologies' short-sentiment indicators are summarized below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 610.2 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.7 M |
DEFSEC Technologies Fundamentals Growth
Investors assess DEFSEC Stock by examining DEFSEC Technologies' underlying financial health. Revenue trajectory, earnings quality, profit margins, and leverage levels are among the most closely watched fundamentals that shape DEFSEC Stock market performance.
| Return On Equity | -1.34 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.54 | |||
| Profit Margin | -1.54 % | |||
| Operating Margin | -1.58 % | |||
| Revenue | 4.94 M | |||
| EBITDA | -8.29 M | |||
| Total Debt | 1.3 M | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.65 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | -7.96 M | |||
| Total Asset | 12.92 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | -52.28 M | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
DEFSEC Technologies performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Relative performance helps interpret behavior versus benchmarks or category peers. DEFSEC Technologies shows ROE of -134.43%, ROA of -53.51%.
For DEFSEC Technologies, this section uses periodic company reporting and market reference feeds with Macroaxis normalization rules applied to keep cross-asset comparisons consistent. Intraday timing differences may exist. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.